Thursday, November 09, 2017

"EMP Myths Debunked and your EMP Questions answered by Dr. Arthur T. Bradley", from Reluctant Preppers


Reluctant Preppers sponsors a 54-minute video interview by Dunagan Kaiser of NASA’s Dr. Arthur T.  Bradley ("Disaster Preparer") on the EMP threat.  Reluctant Preppers has ties to Patreon which also sponsors "Strange Mysteries". 


Bradley suggests that an attack could be more insidious than generally proposed.

Devices that are powered off may be less vulnerable than those in use.  Maybe 25% of cars would stall on the highway with some attacks (sounds like E1). But that could cause real mayhem. Because the attack would be unprecedented and irregular and hard to assess at first, a power like North Korea might be able to “get away with it” for a while.

He describes an “experiment” that occurred in Kazakhstan and caused a power plant go to on fire.
Solar systems might be partially susceptible to EMP.

He talks about the rather remote threat to heart pacemakers.

He explains the difference between a solar storm, which is largely E3, with a typical EMP which might be largely E1 unless thermonuclear weapons were used.

It is not likely that an effective EMP could be detonated from an airplane.

Bradley suggests that an enemy like North Korea could try more than one kind of attack in a short time period.
  
“The Survival Mom” on Facebook shared this video.

Saturday, November 04, 2017

"ISIS in America": Diane Sawyer hosts ABC 20-20 report she has been developing for over a year


On Friday November 3, 2017 ABC 20-20 and Diane Sawyer broadcast “ISIS in America”.  This broadcast is bound to get some official attention in Congress. A couple of the main links are (one) (two). Variety has coverage of the episode here

(To see the ABC embed below, you may need to turn off https on your browser.) 

Much of the narrative concerns the case of Justin Sullivan in North Carolina (in Morganton), who grew up Catholic (was not an immigrant and not a Muslim) but was recruited.   Justin’s father was a Marine and turned him in.

ISIS “gave him a place to belong”.  But his perception had to do with a “death cult” and feeling “powerless”.  One of the videos promises “no more humiliation” for “losers”.   This seems to have to do with the idea that in an open society where anyone can “show off” gratuitously online without supervision, some will win and some will lose (just like in sports). That’s just a consequence of logic (or "going to the root" as I  used to say as a boy).       
     
Charlotte Observer story on Justin’s case;  CBS News story.

Part 3 of the ABC report mentions radiation detectors in New York City (and biological) which are also used in ports.   Part 3 also deals with the “dark web” and right wing extremists as well as jihadism. There was talk of “hastag hijacking”.   It talks about “content war” (even hijacking “Game of Thrones”).  Sawyer visits the Federal Transfer Center in Oklahoma, and the stories of two honor students who fell into the trap.

Part 4 talks about targeting involving possibly Pamela Geller.   A defendant was “fat, failed and a complete idiot”.

There is some coverage of Sayfullo Saipov, who had planned is truck attack for weeks.  Trump says Saipov was a point of contact for 23 other questionable immigrants from Uzbekistan.

Part 5 talks about a mosque in Miami that sheltered everyone during Hurricane Irma.



Update: Nov. 6

The New York Times has an important piece by Jim Rutenberg, the "Mediator", "A How-t on Terror I as Close as a Click: (print) or "Terrorism is faster than Twitter" (online). The links in this story need to be followed closely.

Friday, November 03, 2017

CBS 60 Minutes reviews North Korean threat with visit to USAF center near Dayton, Ohio


David Martin reports on North Korea’s Nuclear Threat on CBS 60 Minutes on Oct. 29. 

The report, for the first time ever, showed the innards of an Air Force command center near or at Wright Patterson Air Force Base in Dayton, Ohio, where North Korean missiles are studied and NORAD defense is simulated.


The upshot is that North Korea probably does not have a heat shield that can survive reentry on an ICBM capable of reaching the US, but is likely to have it by some time in 2018.

The broadcast showed some shorter range SCUD missiles capable of hitting South Korea or Japan. 

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

"North Korea 'Decoders' Are Sounding Alarms": from "Moving Upstream"


Moving Upstream, a series, from the Wall Street Journal, has an 11-minute short film in early October, 2017,  “North Korea ‘Decoders’ Are Sounding Alarms”.

Jason Bellini, who I believe traveled with Marines during the war in Iraq, reports.  The film presents a technology group in Silicon Valley, the Middlebury Group, which uses “open source” to re-simulate all the calculations that would be done by the CIA at Langley regarding North Korean missiles.


The group reaches the alarming conclusion that North Korea could probably reach the US with a nuclear weapon even now, and that it will not be possible to force North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons.
  
The film also notes the possibility of horizontal mounting of weapons inside tunnels, which makes them very hard to destroy.  Some nukes are probably pre-loaded, which would make revenge strikes against the US possible even if Kim Jong Un is removed by force.   But then how good is NORAD?

Thursday, October 05, 2017

Advanced Fusion Systems: "Dispelling the Myths about EMP"


Curtis Birnbach, of Advanced Fusin Systems, presents “Dispelling the Myths about EMP” in 2014.
Birnnach explains the E1 v. E3 threats, and notes that we may not have sound mathematical reasoning on the frequency of extreme solar storms.  It’s possible that a few have irradiate the Earth and caused mass extinctions.


He claims his company’s product is superior to “neutral blockinh” devices that some utilities are starting to deploy.

Virginia (Dominion Power) and Maine are said to be ahead of most utilities in actually designing safeguards from E3 threats.

Advanced Fusion says that proper protection of utilities should cost about $50 billion for all consumers ($500 per person).

He noted that the Russians still use vacuum tubes on some jets as EMP avoidance.

He also discusses non-nuclear magnetic flux guns, which he claims amateurs could figure out had to build, as shown in a September 4. 2001 Popular Mechanics story. He mentioned the scene in the movie “Oceans 11” where Las Vegas is hit by non-nuclear flux. 

Sunday, October 01, 2017

"What to Expect After an EMP": Video slide show talks you through doomsday prepping


What to Expect After an EMP”:

This video, comprising  lot slides like a grade school filmstrip (20 min) is pretty grim indeed. The EMP is indeed the bogeyman.


Cities will break out into chaos in 24 hours, and rural areas in 5 days.  Will this be a moral purification from the fascist idea of survival of the fittest?  It sounds like it from this video. But there are lessons in how to improvise survival.

Actually, there are more recent reports, from Popular Mechanics, for instance, that report much more moderate, spotty, and perhaps recoverable damage from such an enemy.
  
EMP attacks go in several stages.  The smaller weapons can produce E1, which affects electronics and many later cars.  It is the E3 (from fusion reactions and extreme solar storms) that can possibly destroy big transformers, which we don’t have the ability to replace.  But utilities may be able to do a better job of grounding them.

Monday, September 18, 2017

CBS "Face the Nation": John McCain underscores gravity of North Korean nuclear crisis, as has Diane Feinstein


I’ll share the transcript of Senator John McCain’s “Face the Nation” interview (as  “film” for the purpose of this blog),  on CBS on Sunday. Sept. 17, 2017.  He discusses the gravity of the threat of North Korea but also discusses military training accidents and is now sympathetic to transgender service in the US military.  In late 2010, he was at first somewhat reluctant to sign on to the repeal of “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell”. 
  

Resilient Societies says that Senator Diane Feinstein has “admitted” that North Korea can hit the US now almost anywhere with a nuclear weapons, or implicitly an E1-level EMP.